SOC status:Duty analyst on shift

UK Cyber Defence
VulnerabilityAnalyzed

CVE-2025-21309

Windows Remote Desktop Services Remote Code Execution Vulnerability

HIGH 8.1EPSS 15.1%

Does this matter?

EPSS puts the probability of exploitation in the next 30 days at 15.1%, higher than 97% of all known CVEs. Patch or mitigate before the next change window.

Description

Windows Remote Desktop Services Remote Code Execution Vulnerability

CVSS 3.1
8.1 HIGHCVSS:3.1/AV:N/AC:H/PR:N/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
EPSS
15.06% probability · 97th percentile
Public exploits
None in Exploit-DB
CISA KEV
Not listed
Weakness
CWE-591
Affected
microsoft/windows server 2012 · microsoft/windows server 2016 · microsoft/windows server 2019 · microsoft/windows server 2022 · microsoft/windows server 2022 23h2 · microsoft/windows server 2025
Source
secure@microsoft.com
EPSS trend
0%10%20%26 October 2026: 15.06%26 October 202626 October 2026

EPSS 15.1% since 26 October 2026; no change recorded yet. The dashed line is the ten per cent mark our analysts treat as “patch before the next change window”. Points are recorded when the score first appears and whenever it moves by a percentage point or more.

Source: NVD record, EPSS from FIRST.org, KEV from CISA, exploits from Exploit-DB. Refreshed daily. Download this record as JSON.