SOC status:Duty analyst on shift

UK Cyber Defence
VulnerabilityAnalyzed

CVE-2025-21298

Windows OLE Remote Code Execution Vulnerability

CRITICAL 9.8EPSS 74.4%

Does this matter?

EPSS puts the probability of exploitation in the next 30 days at 74.4%, higher than 99% of all known CVEs. Patch or mitigate before the next change window.

Description

Windows OLE Remote Code Execution Vulnerability

CVSS 3.1
9.8 CRITICALCVSS:3.1/AV:N/AC:L/PR:N/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
EPSS
74.37% probability · 99th percentile
Public exploits
None in Exploit-DB
CISA KEV
Not listed
Weakness
CWE-416
Affected
microsoft/windows 10 1507 · microsoft/windows 10 1607 · microsoft/windows 10 1809 · microsoft/windows 10 21h2 · microsoft/windows 10 22h2 · microsoft/windows 11 22h2 · microsoft/windows 11 23h2 · microsoft/windows 11 24h2 · microsoft/windows server 2008 · microsoft/windows server 2012 · microsoft/windows server 2016 · microsoft/windows server 2019 · microsoft/windows server 2022 · microsoft/windows server 2022 23h2 · microsoft/windows server 2025
Source
secure@microsoft.com
EPSS trend
0%38%75%21 October 2026: 74.37%3 November 2026: 74.37%21 October 20263 November 2026

EPSS moved from 74.4% on 21 October 2026 to 74.4% on 3 November 2026. The dashed line is the ten per cent mark our analysts treat as “patch before the next change window”.

Source: NVD record, EPSS from FIRST.org, KEV from CISA, exploits from Exploit-DB. Refreshed daily. Download this record as JSON.